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PiV EI Economics and Carbon Benefits: Detailed Report on Computer Modelling (WP3.4)

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Abstract:

The Plug-in Vehicle Economics and Infrastructure: Economics and Carbon Benefits project is a strategic level analysis of the potential size of the market for plug-in vehicles, the total level of investment needed and the total carbon offset for the UK.

This is a detailed report on the modelling work undertaken in the Economics and Carbon Benefits project. It should be read as a supplement to the final Economics and Carbon Offset Analysis Final Report.

Results are presented in terms of

  • whole life emissions from the vehicle parc (including the achievement, or otherwise, of target reductions). The whole life emissions are also subdivided into emissions associated with usage and emissions associated with production and scrappage;
  • Exchequer spend and revenues;
  • the sustainability of the market for PiVs; and
  • the deployment and sustainabilityof public charge points
The base case scenario demonstrates a switch from gasoline towards diesel with limited uptake of PiVs; PiVs make up only 19% of the parc by 2050 and BEVs only make up 0.6%. The other themed scenarios show the effect of changes in scenario and policy variables to represent themes such as most/least favourable conditions for PiV sales, minimised emissions, green emphasis, impact of high/spiked oil prices and a variety of GDP growth assumptions. Analysis and cross-comparison of their results demonstrates which scenario/policy groupings have a significant impact.

Publication Year:

2011

Publisher:

ETI

Author(s):

Bonsall, P., Cross, J., and Shepherd, J.

Language:

English

File Type:

application/pdf

File Size:

2758095 B

Rights:

Energy Technologies Institute Open Licence for Materials

Rights Overview:

The Energy Technologies Institute is making this document available to use under the Energy Technologies Institute Open Licence for Materials. Please refer to the Energy Technologies Institute website for the terms and conditions of this licence. The Information is licensed "as is" and the Energy Technologies Institute excludes all representations, warranties, obligations and liabilities in relation to the Information to the maximum extent permitted by law. The Energy Technologies Institute is not liable for any errors or omissions in the Information and shall not be liable for any loss, injury or damage of any kind caused by its use. This exclusion of liability includes, but is not limited to, any direct, indirect, special, incidental, consequential, punitive, or exemplary damages in each case such as loss of revenue, data, anticipated profits, and lost business. The Energy Technologies Institute does not guarantee the continued supply of the Information. Notwithstanding any statement to the contrary contained on the face of this document, the Energy Technologies Institute confirms that it has the right to publish this document.

Further information:

N/A

Region:

United Kingdom

Publication Type:

Technical Report

Theme(s):

Transport - Light Duty Vehicles