| Abstract |
The Natural Hazards Review project will develop a framework and best practice approach to characterise natural hazards and seek to improve methodologies where current approaches are inefficient. This is to improve energy system infrastructure design and the project is intended to share knowledge of natural hazards across sectors. The project will be completed in three stages. Phase one will focus on a gap analysis. Phase two will look at developing a series of improved methodologies from the gaps identified in phase one, and phase three will demonstrate how to apply these methodologies. Finally, phase 3 will develop a “how to” guide for use by project engineers
This document is the main deliverable of Phase 1 of the ETI project on Natural hazards containing a detailed literature review which specifies:- the natural hazards which are relevant for the energy sector, classified by hazard categories;
- the available mature methodologies for regional and localised characterisation, as well as expert judgement regarding these methodologies;
- some comments on the impact(s) of climate change on natural hazards;
- the sectors where each natural hazard characterisation is relevant;
- the existing guidelines and regulatory frameworks impacting the UK;
- some examples of industry applications, including the estimation of climate change impacts;
- some trends in R&D in the characterisation of the Natural hazard;
- the gaps in natural hazard analysis and prediction (i.e., for example, the gaps in understanding the hazard combinations or the difficult in estimating the ligthning intensity) and the priority level of the gaps to be addressed by future work, with justification for why these gaps should be filled.
All of this information will be used for scoping Phase 2 of the ETI project on Natural hazard, which aims to address the most urgent and relevant gaps |
